The ‘toughest out’ in tennis over the past 30 years is Roger Federer.
An Infosys ATP Beyond The Numbers analysis of players who win the most points in a losing effort found that Federer averaged winning almost 48 per cent of points in 260 matches where he finished second best. The data set is comprised of 491 players who have lost at least 50 matches at the ATP Tour and Grand Slam level since 1991, when official ATP Tour statistics were first recorded.
Federer has lost 25,925 points in the 260 matches where he has suffered defeats. The Swiss has consistently performed better than any player on Tour in losing by the tightest of margins. The leading 10 players in this category since 1991 are:
Highest Percentage Points Won In Matches Lost (Minimum 50 Matches Lost)
Rank
Player
Points Won %
1
Roger Federer
47.60%
2
Richard Krajicek
47.31%
3
Milos Raonic
47.28%
4
Todd Martin
47.19%
5
Pete Sampras
47.15%
6
Ivo Karlovic
47.09%
7
Novak Djokovic
46.96%
8
Andy Roddick
46.91%
9
Greg Rusedski
46.85%
10
Javier Frana
46.85%
Federer played his opponents even closer in a losing effort when competing indoors versus outdoors.
Indoors = 47.89%
Outdoors = 47.51%
At this time of year, Federer is usually adding to his Wimbledon legacy where he has won a record eight titles. He is 101-13 at Wimbledon throughout his career. In his 13 losses at the All England Club, he has still won a head-turning 49.6 per cent of points, which is second only to Krajicek (49.71 per cent) out of a data set of players who have lost eight or more times at The Championships.
Federer’s best results in a losing effort have come on grass, while his greatest separation from the match winner has occurred on clay.
Federer: Percentage Points Lost By Surface
Surface
Points Won %
Losses
Grass
48.89%
27
Hard
47.63%
150
Carpet
47.29%
17
Clay
46.89%
66
When analyzing his performance against opponents he has lost to at least five times in his career, Federer has played Dominic Thiem the closest and struggled the most against Andy Murray in a losing effort. It’s interesting to note that Federer has played Djokovic slightly closer (47.4 per cent) than Nadal (46.9 per cent) when losing to either player.
Federer: Points Won Losing The Match (Minimum 5 Losses Per Opponent)
Rank
Player
Points Won %
Losses
1
Dominic Thiem
48.5%
5
2
Juan Martin del Potro
48.4%
7
3
Jo-Wilfried Tsonga
48.3%
6
4
Tomas Berdych
48.1%
5
5
Lleyton Hewitt
47.7%
7
6
Tim Henman
47.6%
6
7
David Nalbandian
47.6%
8
8
Novak Djokovic
47.4%
27
9
Rafael Nadal
46.9%
24
10
Andy Murray
45.9%
11
As a comparison, when Federer wins his matches, his average of points won shoots up to almost 56 per cent. The player with the highest percentage of points won when winning matches is Nadal, at 56.4 per cent.
Federer: Average Points Won Losing The Match = 47.6%
Federer: Average Points Won Winning The Match = 55.9%
Part of the overall game plan when trying to defeat Federer must be the mindset that the match is most likely going to go down to the wirereadfullarticle
